Economy
CBN Gov attributes Naira weakness to Nigerians’ appetite for Dollar, foreign goods
***Frankly tells Nigerians, the bank has no magic wand to halt Naira free fall
***’Ways and Means’ is over for good, says Cardoso
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Governor Olayemi Cardoso has attributed the weakness of the Naira to the insatiable appetite of Nigerians for the Dollar and foreign exchange.
Cardoso who gave the admonition during an interactive session with the Senate Committees on Finance, Appropriations, Banking, Insurance and other Financial Institutions, said without moderation of demands on USD, the CBN has no magic wand to stop the free fall of the Naira
He has therefore urged Nigerians, especially the elite, to reduce their appetite for dollar, consumption and usage of foreign goods and patronage of foreign schools and hospitals.
He however informed members of the committee that series of measures have been put in place by the apex bank recently, are yielding results with inflow of about $1billion into the economy.
He also indicated that the Nigerian foreign exchange market is currently facing increased demand pressures, causing a continuous decline in the value of the naira.
He told his host that apex financial institution in the country had no magic wand to hurriedly get the naira stabilised.
He said, “The Nigerian foreign exchange market is currently facing increased demand pressures, causing a continuous decline in the value of the naira.
“Factors contributing to this situation include speculative forex demand, inadequate forex supply increased capital outflows, and excess liquidity.
“To address exchange rate volatility, a comprehensive strategy has been initiated to enhance liquidity in the FX markets.
“This includes unifying FX market segments, clearing outstanding FX obligations, introducing new operational mechanisms for BDCs and IMTOs, enforcing the Net Open Position limit, Open Market Operations and adjusting the remunerable Standing Deposit Facility cap among others.
“The measures, aimed at ensuring a more market-oriented mechanism for exchange rate determination, will boost foreign exchange inflows, stabilize the exchange rate, and minimize its pass-through to domestic inflation.
“Indeed, they have already started yielding early results with significant interest from Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) that have already begun to supply the much-needed foreign exchange to the economy.
“For example, upwards of $1 billion in the last few days came in to subscribe to the Nigeria Treasury Bill auction of 1 trillion Naira which saw an oversubscription earlier this week.
“Our measures aimed at improving USD supply into the Nigerian economy, has significant potential in taming the volatility of the exchange rates. However, for these measures to be sustainable, we must as a country, moderate our demand for FX.
“It is also clear that the task of stabilizing the exchange rate, while an official mandate of the CBN, would necessitate efforts beyond the Bank itself. It will also include actions by corporates and individuals to reduce our frequent demand for the dollar for business and personal needs”.
On Inflation rate , the apex bank governor assured Nigerians that it will reduce to 21.4% in 2024.
He said, “Inflationary pressures are expected to decline in 2024 due to the CBN’s inflation-targeting policy, aiming to rein in inflation to 21.4 percent at the medium term, aided by improved agricultural productivity and easing global supply chain pressures,”he said .
He attributed the current food crisis in the country to insecurity, and natural causes.
Cardoso said, “The upward trend of food inflation is primarily due to supply shocks caused by insecurity, climate-induced factors such as flood and rainfall shortage.
“In some cases, inefficient, subsistent and seasonal farming practices as well as importation bottle necks that have impacted the prices of imported food items are also critical factors.
“Anecdotal evidence indicates that recent exchange rate volatility has fuelled more foreign demands for agricultural products, especially, from neighboring countries.
“While this presents an opportunity to expand and boost agricultural output, hence creating jobs in the sector, supply constraint exacerbated demand, instigating more inflationary pressures.
“Given this backdrop, the emergency committee on food security set up by the President has been taking a number of measures and we see an end in sight to the persistent rise on food inflation.
“On our side at the CBN, we have responded with significant monetary policy tightening to reign in inflationary pressure.
“Empirical analysis has established that money supply is one of the factors fueling the current inflationary pressure.
“For instance, an analysis of the trend of the money supply spanning over nine months shows that M3 increased from N52.01 trillion in January 2023 to N68.25 trillion in November 2023 representing N16.24 trillion or 31.22 percent increase over the period.
“Increase in Net Foreign Asset (NFA) following the harmonization of exchange rates and the N3.22 trillion ways and means advances were the major factors driving the increase in money supply.”
Cardoso told the senators that the apex bank had decided to discontinue the ways and means regime.
He said, “I am pleased to note the Fiscal Authorities efforts in discontinuing ways and means advances.
“This is also in compliance with section (38) of the CBN Act (2007), the Bank is no longer at liberty to grant further ways and means advances to the Federal Government until the outstanding balance as of December 31, 2023, is fully settled.
“The Bank must strictly adhere to the law limiting advances under ways and means to 5 percent of the previous year’s revenue.
“We have also halted quasi-fiscal measures of over 10 trillion naira by the Central Bank of Nigeria under the guise of development finance interventions which hitherto contributed to flooding excess Naira and raising prices to the levels of Inflation we are grappling with today.
“The CBN’s adoption of inflation-targeting framework involves clear communication and collaboration with fiscal authorities to achieve price stability, potentially leading to lowered policy rates, stimulating investment, and creating job opportunities.
“Our MPC meeting on the 26th and 27th of February is also expected to review the situation and take further decisions on these important issues.”
Aside the CBN Governor, top government functionaries like the Ministers of Finance, Wale Edun, Budget and National Planning, Senator Atiku Bagudu, Agriculture and Food Security , Senator Abubakar Kyari, also made presentations based on questions asked by the Senators on the State of Economy.
The Minister of Finance, who is also the Coordinating Minister of the Economy, said the Federal Government was committed to end the current pains of Nigerians through a social security strategy.
Edun said, “In terms of the social protection that is uppermost at this moment and we have the social protection measures through direct payments.
“Direct payments properly done biometrically can lead to reduction in poverty.
“it is proven empirically worldwide, that is why that is an issue that is being look at now. It is our commitment to as soon as possible, resume the social investment programme and the safety net particularly at this time.
“So in a short term the commitment is to face the pains of Nigerians and to do everything that can be done to ease those pains and of course on the foreign exchange side to bring about stability.
“On Expenditure, we are looking at ensuring government expenditure is carefully spent.
“Even the President has reduced his own expenditure and so for the Medium Term let us be assured that the monetary and the fiscal policies which are being implemented are going to increase production, increase funding for the government will play its own role.
“Difficult reforms take time for the benefits to come through and our duty is to ensure in a short term we minimize he pains to the poor and the most vulnerables. ”
Minister of Agriculture and Food Security , Senator Abubakar Kyari, on his part said there is the challenge of Affordability of food, and availability in some cases.
“we have been challenged quite sometimes over COVID which had impact on Agriculture and all other sector, at the same time if you remember the flooding of 2021, and also the Naira redesign of 2022 ,2023 at the point of harvest.
“In 2022 government came up with the policy of redesigning of Naira and that really impacted on the availability of cash. In 2023 early when farmers were just preparing for planting in 2023 they had no cash anywhere.
“Access to capital for farmers is very key, in addition an exiting Government did not plan to do wet season cultivation for 2023, I don’t think there was any impact or any intervention against the 2023 cultivation and that also impacted on the quantum of harvest in 2023.
Senator Sani Musa who chairs the Senate Committee on Finance, in series of posers fired at the Ministers and CBN Governor, queried the $3.3billion collected as loan to rescue Naira , since expected positive effects are not being felt , months after .
But the Chairman of Committee on Banking, Insurance and other Financial Institutions, Senator Adetokunbo Abiru in his remarks, told the CBN governor to ensure proper synergy between Monetary and Fiscal Policies .
He specifically, urged the CBN governor to make available to the committee, audited account of the apex bank and its Budget .
Economy
Unmasking the Truth: GICN Exposes Guaranty Trust Bank’s Alleged Corruption at a protest rally
In a massive rally against corruption, the Global Integrity Crusade Network (GICN) gathered on October 8, 2024, at the National Assembly Complex in Abuja, demanding accountability from Guaranty Trust Bank Limited (GTB). This rally followed their previous address on October 3, where they revealed disturbing allegations of financial misconduct within the bank.
Addressing a crowd of journalists and supporters, GICN officials unveiled their latest findings, claiming that GTB, under the leadership of Segun Julius Agbaje, is entangled in a web of serious violations, including unsolicited account openings, fictitious profit declarations, round-tripping, money laundering, and even terrorism financing.
They highlighted a recent incident involving a customer, Mr. E, who lost money to a scam facilitated through his GTB account.
Despite partial recovery efforts, the bank failed to reimburse the remaining loss, drawing criticism from the UK Financial Ombudsman Service.
GICN’s investigation also linked GTB to the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Special Investigation Report, which implicated the bank in the unlawful diversion of funds from the Nigerian Electricity Market Stabilization Facility (NEMSF).
Additionally, complaints have emerged from Nigerians alleging that GTB traps and diverts foreign currencies sent from intermediary banks abroad, often threatening recipients with unfounded accusations of money laundering.
In a show of solidarity, GICN demanded immediate action from regulatory bodies, including the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) and the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).
They warned that failure to act would lead to legal proceedings aimed at compelling these agencies to fulfill their responsibilities.
The rally also emphasized the plight of bloggers—Precious Eze, Olawale Rotimi, Rowland Olonishu, and Seun Odunlami—who were recently jailed on charges believed to be aimed at silencing dissent against GTB’s alleged misconduct.
GICN condemned these actions, asserting that the fight against corruption must continue undeterred.
Amb. Comr. Adebayo Lion Ogorry, GICN’s Director of Publicity and Mobilization, delivered a resounding message of resilience: “The fight against corruption is our collective responsibility and for us, it is no retreat, no surrender. Solidarity forever!”
As GICN pledged to persist in their quest for justice, the call for accountability at GTB grows louder, echoing the sentiments of a populace eager for transparency and integrity in the financial sector.
Economy
Nigeria’s destiny will not change unless Tinubu dumps Neoliberal policies, says Adebayo
The Presidential Candidate of the Social Democratic Party (SDP) in the 2023 General elections, Adewole Adebayo has indicated that unless there is a shift away from the neoliberal policies of throwing the Nigerian Naira to the Dogs, the current economic hardship may just be the beginning .
The recent #EndBadGovernance protest revealed a deep discontent among Nigerians regarding government policies, particularly the removal of subsidies and currency devaluation, which many believe have exacerbated economic hardships.
Speaking via a telephone interview, he said, “Unless you have a policy shift away from the neoliberal policies, shift away from throwing your currency to the dogs, shift away from the idea of not being able to control inflation, and not being able to generate employment for your people, unless you change the policy, the destiny of the country will not change.
Adebayo who said he anticipated the protest outcome criticized the government’s response, highlighting that the policies were predictable and contributed to widespread distress. Although acknowledging the president’s insensitivity in his speech, he argued that the core issue lies in the commitment to neoliberal policies that need reevaluation for meaningful change.
He reminded Nigerians, that as a candidate of SDP in the said election he warned Nigerians.
“You see, the issue, I knew the protest was going to be like that. And I knew how the government would react. And I knew how it would end and I knew that, of course, people would make their point which would have been obvious to the government ab initio that life has been tough for Nigerians.
“I knew when we were running for presidency. And I listened to the programs of APC, PDP, and Labour Party, I knew that they were ready to throw the people into the lagoon. I knew that this policy of so-called removal of subsidy was another excuse for petroleum mismanagement. I knew that Nigeria would float the currency.
“It was a recipe for disaster in terms of factor price and inflation and you see that I spoke extensively all over the country in all the debates, in interviews, in campaign grounds, that Nigeria should not vote for either Labour Party, APC, or PDP.
“Not because of any other thing than the fact that the policies would put people in great distress. And that distress will affect everybody because when the people don’t have good income and they’re not stable, even industry cannot open because when you produce something, people cannot afford it.
“When they cannot afford it, they buy less, and you can’t get the volume to produce, you don’t have enough money. And if you devalue the currency, components that you need to run your industries, you will not be able to handle them. So, it’s predictable. But people voted for these policies.
“Now the policies are being implemented, and they are shouting, and they have not even seen the end of it. It’s just the beginning of the problems that will come out of it.
“So, the government, what can they do? They are stuck in this bad policy. So, yes it’s true that the president made a speech that was not that conciliatory, and was not in a particular order addressing the problems. But it just shows to you that the problem has some set of solutions.
“Those solutions appear to be beyond the government, because they’ve committed themselves to these policies.
“I’m not here to critique the president regarding how he rendered his speech or not, but I would say that the speech should have been more humane, in tone, but beyond that, the main issue should have been that it’s an opportunity for the government to review these policies.
“Not only the government, many of the people who are in opposition, they still believe in this ill idea, too, other political parties that are not in government, like PDP and LP that are not in the executive branch at the national level, they are still following that, they have not denounced these policies, because these policies are bad. “The Nigerian people should understand that causing crisis in your country in reaction to government policies, which were advertised to you before the election, and you heard them clearly, President Tinubu did not disappoint the people, he said he was going to remove subsidy, he was going to throw the currency under the bus, everything he said he was going to do, that’s what he’s doing.
“They had an opportunity to listen to him, listen to Peter Obi, listen to Alhaji Atiku Abubakar, and realize that these three people are not acting in our best interest, and they should not have voted for any of them. So if you voted for them, and you come out now, you are demonstrating on the street, that is not a democratic way to look at it, because you voted for these policies.
“But you made your point clear, but what happens next? Next month, in September, there will be an election for Governor in Edo State, there will be an election for governor in Ondo State in November, if you spend the whole of August protesting, EndBadGovernment, and in September, you vote for APC or PDP in Edo State, what have you gained? You are contradicting yourself.
“If you spend the whole of the period protesting against APC, and then you go to Ondo State in November, and go and vote for APC or PDP, so you are just contradicting yourself.
“So people should understand that this is not a military government, this is an elected government, and the way you teach an elected government to listen to you, is to make sure you don’t vote for them.
“So when they lose a few governorship elections, they lose all by-elections, they will start to understand that you don’t want them to continue the way they are doing.
“But if you keep voting for them, they will assume that you are happy with their policies, and they will think that those who are demonstrating or protesting are just troublemakers, because a politician is going to listen to what the majority wants, and the only way the majority, the major way the majority shows its hands, is on election day.
“So it’s not going to be what editorial is written in the Guardian, what Arise TV pundits are saying, what Kaftan TV journalists are writing. A politician will respond to the ballot box.
“So I urge the people, if you are not satisfied with the way the government is running, try to understand the philosophy and the ideology that is making them to mismanage the country like this, and organise around new ideas that are different from their own, and vote for politicians and public office holders along the new ideas, and these people will leave power. “But keeping them there, and their burning houses, and demonstrating on the street, looting shops, and all sorts of things like this, is not how to run a stable democracy. ”
He emphasized that Nigerians must consider the implications of their voting choices, suggesting that protesting without changing the way they vote will not lead to effective accountability. Simply put, to evoke a genuine response from the government, citizens must demonstrate their dissatisfaction through their votes rather than through demonstrations alone.
Economy
Obi worries that Nigeria’s Economy is now 4th in Africa from 1st in 2014
***Raises issues over luxury lifestyle of government officials
**Says it has been nine years of Retrogression*
The last nine years of the All Progressives Congress (APC) administration has been a tale of retrogression with the country’s Economy declining to an all time fourth Position, the Labour Party Presidential Candidate in the 2023 poll, Peter Obi has lamented
Writing on his X handle on Monday with statistics, Obi indicated that no effort is being made to address the growing poverty and unemployment in the land as the government fund its luxury lifestyle.
According to him, “When Nigeria returned to democratic governance in 1999, it maintained an average GDP growth of about 6.72% for 16 years from 1999-2014.
“The impressive growth trajectory, unfortunately, was not sustained by the then-new government and our GDP growth collapsed to 2.79% in 2015 and then recession in 2016 with a negative growth of -1.58% and 0.82% in 2017.
“For the past 9 years, Nigeria’s economy has seen unprecedented retrogression on many fronts. In 2014, just before the inception of a new administration a year later, Nigeria had the biggest economy in Africa with a Gross Domestic Product of $568.5 billion and a GDP Per Capita of about N3200.
“Our economic indices pointed towards hope and prospects for the future growth of the economy.
“Nine years later, the giant of Africa has retrogressed to the 4th largest economy in Africa. Reports showed our GDP in 2023 stood at $375 billion with a per capita of $1700. In 2024, our estimated GDP declined further to $253 billion with an estimated per capita of $1087.
“This portrays how our 9 years journey since 2015 has resulted in a sharp decline in our national prosperity.
“Today, poverty is on the increase. Unemployment is rising. Food inflation is skyrocketing. Our foreign and local investors are losing faith in the future growth of our economy and are leaving. Businesses are shutting down. Urgent actions need to be taken to salvage the nation from further collapse and move it from consumption to production!
“However, instead of concerning ourselves with all these challenges threatening our collective existence, and finding ways to recreate an inclusive and sustainable economy, pull millions of people out of poverty, and return our over 18 million out-of-school children to schools, our leaders are more concerned with funding their selfish luxuries and individual lavishness, while throwing blames at others who are only committed to solving the nation’s problems.
“I have always believed that politics should be about service to the people and the betterment of society. In the face of all these challenges, we the leaders should commit to inclusive and sustainable growth to end the hardship which has continued to burden our fellow Nigerians. Only through that can we achieve a peaceful and secure society.
“A New Nigeria based on better economic and patriotic thinking is POssible.”
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