Economy
Save Nigeria from sinking further from bottom to the bottomless pit, Melaye urges Nigerians
**Tells Buhari, the country has collapsed under his watch
Senator who represented Kogi West in the 8th senate and partly 9th senate, Dino Melaye has asked Nigerians to save their country from tipping over from bottom to the bottomless pit.
In a message to President Muhammadu Buhari he indicated that it is so ridiculously bad that the Commander in Chief is now the target in chief of bandits and kidnappers.
Describing the scenario as a repulsive and revulsive melodrama he quoted the classic Nigerian Songstar, Asa, who on the 19th day of July 2022 during the NNPC re-launch rendered her contextual song *“there is fire on the Mountain and nobody seems to be on the run”* .
In a statement he personally signed and made available to the NationalUpdate on Friday, he said the song was a direct message that if as usual President Buhari is ‘not aware’, that all is not well in Nigeria, the country over which he is the Commander-in-Chief then he should know that,
“His administration has successfully turned Nigeria into an unenviable poverty capital of the world, where over 82.9 million once-thriving Nigerians can no longer afford their daily meals and other necessities of life. Millions of Nigerians now wish they were never born as Nigerians.
“To my fellow Nigerians, this is no longer business as usual. Nigeria is heading for a seemingly irredeemable precipice under this administration.
We need to speak up now before our National patrimony and collective wealth will be extinguished under this administration.
“Nigerians will remember vividly when this administration during its campaign made the statement “ from Top to Bottom” most Nigerians laughed in amusement, thinking it was just one of those campaign slogans. “Little did we know it was a clear declaration of how our economy would be ruined from Top to Bottom. According to him, the President has succeeded in taking the economy of this country from top to bottom. “Nigeria’s once robust economy handed over to the President by the last administration in 2015 is in a state of anomie today. Nigeria’s once robust economy has been wrecked and ruined, resulting in unbearable hardship, hunger, hopelessness, starvation, strange sicknesses, suicide and and sslavery.”
According to him, President Buhari’s administration is a colossal failure and bedevilled with so many contradictions.
“The administration failed in every sector of our national life. This is the administration that made sweeping and salivating promises to the Nigerian populace, promising tantalising dividends the country stands to gain through its leadership particularly on the fight against corruption, economy, security, democracy as well as national unity and cohesion.”
He said Nigeria is experiencing a comatose economy, a corrupt and dysfunctional politics, a fractured society, a broken nation beset by widespread poverty, debilitating insecurity and, inevitably, massive distrust of government.
“We watched with dismay and utter disgust the gradual and total collapse of almost every fabric of governance in Nigeria. *From Top to Bottom Ibdeed!*
Melaye pointed out that unconscionably the President still feels his administration is doing so well that he rolled out the drums to celebrate his seventh anniversary on 29th May.
“In a 28-page document, published on May 28, the presidency reeled out self-acclaimed achievements, covering legislative reform, infrastructure and agriculture.
“For the avoidance of doubt and for the purpose of clarity, how has the economy performed under this administration? Mr. President needs to remark his own script, to see what he has turned Nigeria into in this past agonising and dehumanising years of his administration:
“Our debt crisis manifests in our fiscal cliff as we now spend all of our revenue servicing debts. Nigeria’s statistical figures recently showed that we now spend over 100% of our revenue to service debts.
“This past quarter, we spent N1.94 trillion servicing debts, while our revenue was less than that figure by N300 billion, at N1.63 trillion. This is ridiculous.
“So, the questions we Nigerians are asking is where will we find money to fulfil other obligations? We can no longer depend on our crude oil because, it has finally become a liability, as our proceeds from crude get cancelled out by our import of petrol, Nigeria is now stuck for ways to fund herself.
“Also, our debt stock is about N41 Trillion, or close to $100 billion. This is about a quarter of our GDP. But when we add government borrowing from people’s pensions, the borrowing that was used in intervening in the bad bank, AMCON, and the Federal Government’s exposure to the Central Bank of Nigeria, perhaps we are looking at least another N35 to N40 Trillion, taking our debt to GDP ratio to over 50%.
“Of course debt to GDP is a meaningless index. What about debt to revenue? That is where we find that our economy has really cascaded from prosperity to poverty on fulfillment of the unavowed determination of the President to bring the economy from fame to shame and from top to bottom.
He indicated that the naira value is becoming uncontrollable just as the foreign exchange market continues to witness supply shortage to meet its demand.
“A gap of at least N250 has emerged between the official rate and the more-accessible ‘parallel market’ rate. As of today, the exchange rate is N710 per US$1 dollar, and the devastating effect of same on economy of our nation cannot even be fathomed.
“It has become one of Nigerian’s worst nightmares because the exchange rate is tied to inflation and perception. It is a pheno”menon that feeds on itself and leads to a spiral because Nigeria is still largely an import economy, we produce nothing apart from agricultural items which we sell raw.
” Inflation is at 18.6% and the Central Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has raised the benchmark rate by 100 basis points (1%) in the last two consecutive meetings. Even though rates are being raised, which should theoretically slow down inflation, the opposite has been the case. The higher the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), the higher the inflation.
“Nigeria is stuck in a perpetual trap of low productivity. Nigeria today is producing little or nothing. This administration failed to encourage or provide the atmosphere to increase production. And it is glaring when we analyse our exports against our imports.
“This situation has gotten worst under this administration. We are locked into a situation where we only grow crops and sell them yearly without adding appropriate value for export. Yet we attract the most sophisticated imports from the world.”
Economy
NES President Advocates Cash Transfers, Capital Spending to Reset Nigeria’s Economy
The President of the Nigerian Economic Society (NES), Professor Adeola Adenikinju, has urged the Federal Government to prioritize direct cash transfers to the poor while ramping up capital spending in the 2025 budget.
Speaking during an interactive session with the Senate Committee on Appropriation, Professor Adenikinju described these measures as pivotal for alleviating poverty and driving sustainable economic growth.
The session, held in Abuja on Thursday, was part of deliberations on the proposed ₦49.7 trillion ‘Budget of Restoration,’ which President Bola Tinubu submitted in December 2024.
The budget aims to tackle Nigeria’s economic challenges while laying the groundwork for structural reforms.
“Targeted cash transfers to the poor can deliver immediate relief to millions facing economic hardship,” Professor Adenikinju said. “At the same time, increased investment in infrastructure and other capital projects will stimulate job creation and boost long-term economic productivity.”
The NES president also highlighted Nigeria’s pressing revenue challenges, stressing that the government must implement bold, innovative measures to unlock economic potential and stabilize the fiscal environment.
The interactive session featured contributions from lawmakers, economic experts, and civil society organizations. Senator Adeola Olamilekan, Chairman of the Senate Appropriation Committee, commended the budget’s ambition, calling it “a roadmap to economic restoration.”
He affirmed the Senate’s commitment to supporting President Tinubu’s administration in addressing revenue shortfalls and stabilizing the economy.
“The projections in this budget are daring but achievable. We are focused on delivering an economic framework that fosters growth and inclusion,” Senator Olamilekan stated.
Senate President Godswill Akpabio reinforced this optimism, pledging the 10th Senate’s dedication to the administration’s fiscal agenda. However, Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, Atiku Bagudu, cautioned against relying solely on cash transfers to combat poverty. He emphasized policies that promote business growth and entrepreneurship as more sustainable poverty-alleviation strategies.
“Empowering businesses is the key to creating jobs and reducing poverty on a large scale,” Bagudu argued. “While cash transfers provide short-term relief, our focus must remain on strengthening the private sector and fostering economic activity.”
This stakeholders’ meeting marks a historic approach to fiscal planning in the National Assembly, fostering collaboration among lawmakers, economists, and civil society. Participants agreed that balancing social welfare initiatives with robust capital investment is crucial to achieving the goals of the 2025 budget.
As the Senate works toward finalizing the fiscal plan, the session underscored the importance of building consensus on policies that can deliver both immediate and long-term economic benefits.
The 2025 budget presents an opportunity to not only address Nigeria’s current challenges but also lay the foundation for a more inclusive and resilient economic future.
Economy
Sanusi Speaks Out: Nigeria’s Economic Woes Rooted in Decades of Mismanagement
**distances himself from Tinubu’s government as Falana emphasizes legal clarity on Kano’s single Emirate
In a fiery critique of Nigeria’s economic trajectory, former Emir of Kano, Dr. Muhammad Sanusi II, has attributed the nation’s financial struggles to decades of poor economic policies and mismanagement. Speaking at the 21st Memorial Lecture in honor of late Chief Gani Fawehinmi, Sanusi lamented the lack of competent hands in the current administration to drive economic recovery.
Sanusi, a respected economist and former Central Bank Governor, made it clear that he no longer supports or engages with the Tinubu administration’s economic policies. “I don’t want to help this government. They are my friends, but if they don’t behave like friends, I won’t act like one. They lack credible individuals who can articulate their strategies,” he stated.
The ex-Emir also emphasized that the current economic challenges were inevitable outcomes of long-standing fiscal irresponsibility, warning that failure to address systemic issues would lead to further hardship.
Meanwhile, human rights lawyer Femi Falana (SAN) reiterated that Kano State is legally bound to have only one Emir. Speaking at the same event, Falana congratulated the 16th Emir of Kano on his victory at the Court of Appeal, stressing that traditional rulership is not a matter of fundamental human rights but rather of state law.
“The Court of Appeal has spoken. Any further challenges to the ruling will likely end the same way at the Supreme Court,” Falana stated, urging the Nigerian Bar Association to uphold the rule of law in such matters.
The lecture, attended by prominent legal and political figures, highlighted the late Fawehinmi’s enduring legacy of truth and justice in Nigerian society. As the debate on governance and tradition continues, the call for competent leadership and respect for the law remains at the forefront of national discourse.
Economy
Nigeria to Redefine GDP with Hidden Economy to Reflect True Wealth
Nigeria’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has announced plans to include previously unaccounted-for illegal and hidden activities in its GDP calculations.
This ground breaking move aims to provide a more accurate picture of the economy, which has seen a decline in global ranking, falling to the fourth-largest in Africa.
The new GDP framework will incorporate activities such as black-market dealings, the digital economy, and household labor, alongside conventional sectors.
Senior NBS official Moses Waniko highlighted the economic impact of informal and even illegal activities, like prostitution, on the formal economy.
Moses Waniko, a senior official at the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), said the new exercise could show that Nigeria has a bigger economy than currently estimated.
“There are economic activities that have no legal backing,” he said, citing prostitution. “The practitioners earn income from them and sometimes live bigger than those in the formal sector. At the end of the day, the income earned impacts the formal economy,” Waniko said.
Waniko said a new calculation was necessary to reflect changing economic realities.
It will consider 2019 as the base year, he said, adding that new segments to be considered in the calculation include the digital economy, health and social insurance, pensions, modular refineries, mining and households employing labour.
“We expect that the size of the economy will be bigger,” he said.
“The tax-to-GDP ratio is something that people may want to see… Debt to GDP ratio of 18.5 percent as of September 2019 could also reduce with the bigger size of the GDP, and then per-capita income will increase after the rebasing.”
He said the contribution of the crude oil sector to the economy had reduced, dropping from third place to fifth.
The real estate sector is now in third place after agriculture and trade.
This recalibration, the first since 2014, could significantly expand Nigeria’s economic size, recalibrate tax and debt ratios, and potentially restore its position as Africa’s leading economy.
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