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FG backtracks on subsidy removal says it is not on its card at the moment

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***Lawan tells labour to shelve planned protests as it’s no longer necessary

The Federal Government has soft-pedal on its initial plan to remove subsidy on petroleum products saying it is clear to even the blind and audible to the deaf that the situation of the country does not allow for that at the moment
Recall that while presenting the 2022 budget the Federal Government had infused in the budget provision for subsidy untill June 2022 when it wanted to remove the subsidy which was passed and assented to.
In seeking for a soft landing based on the outcry from Nigerians the minister of Petroleum Resources Timipre Sylva and his counterpart in the ministry of Finance Hajia Zainab Ahmad as well as the Group managing Director NNPC limited, Mele Kyari met with the national assembly leadership to seek an ammendment of the law to provide for an extension of subsidy provision beyond June 2022
The Minister of Finance, Budget and Economic Planning, Hajia Zainab Ahmed, said that the Federal Government had postponed the planned removal of subsidy on petroleum products till further notice.

The meeting was convened at the instance of the President of the Senate, Ahmad Lawan.

The Finance Minister said the Federal Government initially had the plans to remove subsidy on petroleum products from July this year.

She said that was the reason adequate provision was made in the 2022 national budget for subsidy payment till June.

She said, “Provision was made in the 2022 budget for subsidy payment from January till June. That suggested that from July, there would be no subsidy.

”The provision was made sequel to the passage of the Petroleum Industry Act which indicated that all petroleum products would be deregulated.

“Sequel to the passage of the PIA, we went back to amend the fiscal framework to incorporate the subsidy removal.

“However, after the budget was passed, we had consultations with a number of stakeholders and it became clear that the timing was problematic.

“We discovered that practically, there is still heightened inflation and that the removal of subsidy would further worsen the situation and impose more difficulties on the citizenry.

“Mr. President (Muhammadu Buhari), does not want to do that. What we are now doing is to continue with the ongoing discussions and consultations in terms of putting in place a number of measures.

“One of these include the roll out of the refining capacities of the existing refineries and the new ones which would reduce amount of products that would be imported into the country.

“We therefore need to return to the National Assembly to now amend the budget and make additional provision for subsidy from July 22 to whatever period that we agreed was suitable for the commencement of the total removal’

The minister for state petroleum Resources Timipre Sulva said
“As far as I am concerned at this point it is a legislative duty. 
“The law has been passed we are all aware but there is no law that is cast in stone. “It is clear to everyone that at this point in operationalizing the law is not possible within 6minths framework that has been provided for in the law and if that time frame provided for in the law is not feasible which has come to us as a result of operationalising the law then it is also a legislative responsibility now to see what can be done in extending that time frame for it to be in the purview of the law,  “Secondly the other legislative issue arising from it is the provision for the subsidy that is not there after June.  
It is very clear to the blind and audible to the deaf that it is not feasible at this time to remove subsidy.
“I know that some nay sayers, or political pundits want to bring politics into it but it is not within the contemplation of this administration now to remove subsidy.”

The president of the Senate Ahmad Lawan said the meeting ordinarily shouldn’t have been opened for media coverage however he indicated that anything that will interest the public is worth coverage 
The Senate President therefore urged the organised labour unions in the country to shelve their proposed nationwide protests as it was no longer necessary.

“There is need at one point to do away with subsidy but the President genuinely feel for Nigerians particularly the most vulnerable. Even though our economy is growing but we still have challenge getting better.
“Because of this feeling by the President and most of us in this administration believe that the issue of removal of subsidy should be handled with utmost care especially that sufficient planning needs to be done.
“Significant arrangement for absorbing the shock that will come with the removal should be done and the timing is such that the impacts and consequences will not add to hardships.

He said the sympathy for Nigerians is not about NLC.
 “We are talking about every Nigerian.  NLC is just an organised part of the system. Our concern is beyond NLC. 
“I am taking this opportunity to speak to TUC and NLC to shelve this their plan to go on strike or demonstration.  “It is totally unnecessary.  There is not going to be removal of subsidy so let us not create unnecessary tension where there should be none.
“Please forget about the 27th of January deadline.  We are supposed to come together and work assiduously to see that our country is stable that our people enjoy the benefits of Government programs and projects. “At the end of the day whatever decision we would be taking would be in the best interest of our people.”

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Economy

NES President Advocates Cash Transfers, Capital Spending to Reset Nigeria’s Economy

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The President of the Nigerian Economic Society (NES), Professor Adeola Adenikinju, has urged the Federal Government to prioritize direct cash transfers to the poor while ramping up capital spending in the 2025 budget.
Speaking during an interactive session with the Senate Committee on Appropriation, Professor Adenikinju described these measures as pivotal for alleviating poverty and driving sustainable economic growth.

The session, held in Abuja on Thursday, was part of deliberations on the proposed ₦49.7 trillion ‘Budget of Restoration,’ which President Bola Tinubu submitted in December 2024.
The budget aims to tackle Nigeria’s economic challenges while laying the groundwork for structural reforms.
“Targeted cash transfers to the poor can deliver immediate relief to millions facing economic hardship,” Professor Adenikinju said. “At the same time, increased investment in infrastructure and other capital projects will stimulate job creation and boost long-term economic productivity.”
The NES president also highlighted Nigeria’s pressing revenue challenges, stressing that the government must implement bold, innovative measures to unlock economic potential and stabilize the fiscal environment.
The interactive session featured contributions from lawmakers, economic experts, and civil society organizations. Senator Adeola Olamilekan, Chairman of the Senate Appropriation Committee, commended the budget’s ambition, calling it “a roadmap to economic restoration.”
He affirmed the Senate’s commitment to supporting President Tinubu’s administration in addressing revenue shortfalls and stabilizing the economy.
“The projections in this budget are daring but achievable. We are focused on delivering an economic framework that fosters growth and inclusion,” Senator Olamilekan stated.
Senate President Godswill Akpabio reinforced this optimism, pledging the 10th Senate’s dedication to the administration’s fiscal agenda. However, Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, Atiku Bagudu, cautioned against relying solely on cash transfers to combat poverty. He emphasized policies that promote business growth and entrepreneurship as more sustainable poverty-alleviation strategies.
“Empowering businesses is the key to creating jobs and reducing poverty on a large scale,” Bagudu argued. “While cash transfers provide short-term relief, our focus must remain on strengthening the private sector and fostering economic activity.”
This stakeholders’ meeting marks a historic approach to fiscal planning in the National Assembly, fostering collaboration among lawmakers, economists, and civil society. Participants agreed that balancing social welfare initiatives with robust capital investment is crucial to achieving the goals of the 2025 budget.
As the Senate works toward finalizing the fiscal plan, the session underscored the importance of building consensus on policies that can deliver both immediate and long-term economic benefits.
The 2025 budget presents an opportunity to not only address Nigeria’s current challenges but also lay the foundation for a more inclusive and resilient economic future.

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Economy

Sanusi Speaks Out: Nigeria’s Economic Woes Rooted in Decades of Mismanagement

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Chairman, Gani Fawehinmi Annual Lecture Planning Committee, Kunle Adegoke (SAN); Chairman, Nigerian Bar Association, Ikeja Branch, Adeniyi Quadri; Guest Speaker, Dr. Muhammad Sanusi II; Lagos State Attorney General and Commissioner for Justice, Lawal Pedro (SAN), and NBA President, Afam Osigwe (SAN), during the 21st anniversary of the late Gani Fawehinmi Annual Lecture in Lagos, yesterday

**distances himself from Tinubu’s government as Falana emphasizes legal clarity on Kano’s single Emirate

In a fiery critique of Nigeria’s economic trajectory, former Emir of Kano, Dr. Muhammad Sanusi II, has attributed the nation’s financial struggles to decades of poor economic policies and mismanagement. Speaking at the 21st Memorial Lecture in honor of late Chief Gani Fawehinmi, Sanusi lamented the lack of competent hands in the current administration to drive economic recovery.

Sanusi, a respected economist and former Central Bank Governor, made it clear that he no longer supports or engages with the Tinubu administration’s economic policies. “I don’t want to help this government. They are my friends, but if they don’t behave like friends, I won’t act like one. They lack credible individuals who can articulate their strategies,” he stated.

The ex-Emir also emphasized that the current economic challenges were inevitable outcomes of long-standing fiscal irresponsibility, warning that failure to address systemic issues would lead to further hardship.

Meanwhile, human rights lawyer Femi Falana (SAN) reiterated that Kano State is legally bound to have only one Emir. Speaking at the same event, Falana congratulated the 16th Emir of Kano on his victory at the Court of Appeal, stressing that traditional rulership is not a matter of fundamental human rights but rather of state law.

“The Court of Appeal has spoken. Any further challenges to the ruling will likely end the same way at the Supreme Court,” Falana stated, urging the Nigerian Bar Association to uphold the rule of law in such matters.

The lecture, attended by prominent legal and political figures, highlighted the late Fawehinmi’s enduring legacy of truth and justice in Nigerian society. As the debate on governance and tradition continues, the call for competent leadership and respect for the law remains at the forefront of national discourse.

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Economy

Nigeria to Redefine GDP with Hidden Economy to Reflect True Wealth

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Nigeria’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has announced plans to include previously unaccounted-for illegal and hidden activities in its GDP calculations.
This ground breaking move aims to provide a more accurate picture of the economy, which has seen a decline in global ranking, falling to the fourth-largest in Africa.

The new GDP framework will incorporate activities such as black-market dealings, the digital economy, and household labor, alongside conventional sectors.
Senior NBS official Moses Waniko highlighted the economic impact of informal and even illegal activities, like prostitution, on the formal economy.
Moses Waniko, a senior official at the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), said the new exercise could show that Nigeria has a bigger economy than currently estimated.

“There are economic activities that have no legal backing,” he said, citing prostitution. “The practitioners earn income from them and sometimes live bigger than those in the formal sector. At the end of the day, the income earned impacts the formal economy,” Waniko said.

Waniko said a new calculation was necessary to reflect changing economic realities.

It will consider 2019 as the base year, he said, adding that new segments to be considered in the calculation include the digital economy, health and social insurance, pensions, modular refineries, mining and households employing labour.

“We expect that the size of the economy will be bigger,” he said.

“The tax-to-GDP ratio is something that people may want to see… Debt to GDP ratio of 18.5 percent as of September 2019 could also reduce with the bigger size of the GDP, and then per-capita income will increase after the rebasing.”

He said the contribution of the crude oil sector to the economy had reduced, dropping from third place to fifth.

The real estate sector is now in third place after agriculture and trade.
This recalibration, the first since 2014, could significantly expand Nigeria’s economic size, recalibrate tax and debt ratios, and potentially restore its position as Africa’s leading economy.

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